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ChatGPT’s owner: ‘AI will surpass humans in 10 years’

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ChatGPT's owner: 'AI will surpass humans in 10 years'

CEO Sam Altman and Chairman Greg Brockman of OpenAI predict that AI could reach expert level in “most fields” within the next 10 years.

“With the current landscape as we see it, it is conceivable that within the next 10 years, AI systems will surpass the level of expertise in most fields and perform many tasks efficiently, akin to some of the largest corporations today,” stated the leadership team of OpenAI, including Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, and Chief Scientist Ilya Sutskever, in their joint article on the company’s website.

AI will surpass humans in 10 years
Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, during his testimony before the United States Congress on May 16th.

OpenAI emphasizes that superintelligent AI models, or AGI (Artificial General Intelligence), have the potential to pose an “existential risk” to humanity in the next decade. Therefore, it is necessary to minimize the risks associated with AI, not through limitations, but through “coordination and special handling.”

“The superintelligence will surpass other technologies that humanity has faced,” the article states. “Ultimately, we will need an organization to govern the control of superintelligence, similar to the International Atomic Energy Agency in the field of atomic energy. Any AI development efforts should adhere to an authoritative international body.”

Sam Altman has repeatedly warned about the potential dangers of AI. While the technology itself is a progression, it can become a threat if it falls into the wrong hands or “goes astray, leading to mistakes and significant harm to the world if not properly regulated.” During a hearing before the US Congress on May 16th, Altman expressed his desire to collaborate with the government to prevent negative scenarios in the future and advocated for the establishment of a regulatory agency to oversee this technology.

Altman also called for companies developing AI to openly share their models and foundational data. They should be licensed to operate and demonstrate the safety of their products before releasing them to the public. Independent audits of AI models are also necessary.

The emergence of a series of AI models in recent times is causing significant societal changes. These tools can generate text and visual content, assist doctors in communicating with patients, provide quick answers to complex questions, and more. However, the race among large technology companies is increasing concerns.

Last week, Google CEO Sundar Pichai also urged regulators to swiftly adjust rules related to AI as it is the “most profound technology that humanity is developing today.”

In March, Elon Musk and several technology experts signed a letter calling for a six-month halt in the development of AI models more powerful than GPT-4. Geoffrey Hinton, one of the pioneers in AI, announced his departure from Google in order to openly raise concerns about the dangers of this technology.

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Elon Musk’s super AI Grok was created within two months.

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The development team of xAI stated that Grok was trained for two months using data from the X platform.

“Grok is still in the early testing phase, and it is the best product we could produce after two months of training,” xAI wrote in the Grok launch announcement on November 5th.

This is one of the AI systems that has been trained in the shortest amount of time. Previously, OpenAI took several years to build large language models (LLMs) before unveiling ChatGPT in November 2022.

xAI also mentioned that Grok utilizes a large language model called Grok-1, which was developed based on the Grok-0 prototype with 33 billion parameters. Grok-0 was built shortly after the company was founded by Elon Musk in July of this year.

With a total time of approximately four months, the company asserts that Grok-1 surpasses popular models like GPT-3.5, which is used for ChatGPT. In scoring benchmarks on mathematical and theoretical standards such as GSM8k, MMLU, and HumanEval, xAI’s model outperforms LLaMa 2 70B, Inflection-1, and GPT-3.5.

For example, in a math problem-solving test based on this year’s Hungarian National High School Math Competition, Grok-1 achieved a score of 59%, higher than GPT-3.5’s score of 41% and only slightly below GPT-4 (68%).

According to xAI, the distinguishing feature of Grok is its “real-time world knowledge” through the X platform. It also claims to answer challenging questions that most other AI systems would reject.

Elon Musk's super AI Grok

On the launch day, Musk also demonstrated this by asking the question, “the steps to make cocaine.” The chatbot immediately listed the process, although it later clarified that it was just joking.

This is the first product of Musk’s xAI startup, which brings together employees from DeepMind, OpenAI, Google Research, Microsoft Research, Tesla, and researchers from the University of Toronto. Musk is also a co-founder of OpenAI, the organization behind ChatGPT, established in 2015. He later left the company due to disagreements over control. During his departure, he declared his intention to compete for talent from the company while also cutting off the previously promised $1 billion in funding.

Read more: Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI… agree with voluntary measures to protect AI.

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 AI generation – a new battleground in phone chip design.

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Smartphone and mobile chip manufacturers are participating in the wave of AI generation to bring this technology to phones in the near future.

AI generation has exploded over the past year, with a range of applications being released to generate text, images, music, and even versatile assistants. Smartphone and semiconductor companies are also building the latest hardware to not miss out on the wave. Leading the way is Google’s Pixel 8, while Qualcomm’s Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 processor is also set to be launched in the coming days.

The latest signs indicate that phone manufacturers are welcoming AI generation from Google. The Pixel 8 series is the first set of smartphones capable of operating and processing Google’s Foundation Models for AI generation directly on the device without the need for an internet connection. The company stated that the models on the Pixel 8 reduce many dependencies on cloud services, providing increased security and reliability as data is not readily available.

SoC chip on Google Pixel AI Generation
SoC chip on Google Pixel phones. Image: Android Authority

This has become a reality thanks to the Tensor G3 chip, with the Tensor (TPU) processor significantly improving over last year. The company usually keeps the operation of the AI chip secret but has revealed some information, such as the Pixel 8 having double the number of on-device machine learning models compared to the Pixel 6. The AI generation on the Pixel 8 also has the ability to compute 150 times faster than the largest model of the Pixel 7.

Google is not the only phone manufacturer applying AI generation at the hardware level. Earlier this month, Samsung announced the development of the Exynos 2400 chipset with AI computing performance increased by 14.7 times compared to the 2200 series. They are also developing AI tools for their new phone line using the 2400 chip, allowing users to run text-to-image applications directly on the device without an internet connection.

Qualcomm’s Snapdragon chip is the heart of many leading Android smartphones globally, which raises expectations for the AI generation capabilities on the Snapdragon 8 Gen 3 model.

Earlier this year, Qualcomm demonstrated a text-to-image application called Stable Diffusion running on a device using Snapdragon 8 Gen 2. This indicates that image generation support could be a new feature on the Gen 3 chipset, especially since Samsung’s Exynos 2400 also has a similar capability.

Qualcomm Senior Director Karl Whealton stated that upcoming devices can “do almost anything you want” if their hardware is powerful, efficient, and flexible enough. He mentioned that people often consider specific AI generation-related features and question whether the existing hardware can handle them, emphasizing that Qualcomm’s available chipsets are powerful and flexible enough to meet user needs.

Some smartphones with 24 GB of RAM have also been launched this year, signaling their potential for utilizing AI generation models. “I won’t name device manufacturers, but large RAM capacity brings many benefits, including performance improvement. The understanding capability of AI models is often related to the size of the training model,” Whealton said.

AI models are typically loaded and continuously reside in RAM, as regular flash memory would significantly increase application loading times.

“People want to achieve a rate of 10-40 tokens per second. That ensures good results, providing almost human-like conversations. This speed can only be achieved when the model is in RAM, which is why RAM capacity is crucial,” he added.

Chip Snapdragon 8 Gen 2 of AI generation
Chip Snapdragon 8 Gen 2. Image: Qualcomm

However, this does not mean that smartphones with low RAM will be left behind.

“On-device AI generation will not set a minimum RAM requirement, but RAM capacity will be proportional to enhanced functionality. Phones with low RAM will not be left out of the game, but the results from AI generation will be significantly better with devices that have larger RAM capacity,” commented Director Whealton.

Qualcomm’s Communications Director, Sascha Segan, proposed a hybrid approach for smartphones that cannot accommodate large AI models on the device. They can host smaller models and allow processing on the device, then compare and validate the results with the larger cloud-based model. Many AI models are also being scaled down or quantized to run on mid-range and older phones.

According to experts, AI generation models will play an increasingly important role in upcoming mobile devices. Currently, most phones rely on the cloud, but on-device processing will be the key to expanding security and operational features. This requires more powerful chips, more memory, and smarter AI compression technology.

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AI can diagnose someone with diabetes in 10 seconds through their voice.

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Medical researchers in Canada have trained artificial intelligence (AI) to accurately diagnose type 2 diabetes in just 6 to 10 seconds, using the patient’s voice.

AI diagnoses diabetes
AI will provide more accurate diagnoses when the patient’s age and body mass index (BMI) are added to the prediction model. Image: Shutterstock

According to the Daily Mail, a research team at Klick Labs in the United States has achieved this breakthrough after their AI machine learning model identified 14 distinct audio characteristics between individuals without diabetes and those with type 2 diabetes.

The AI focused on a set of voice features, including subtle changes in pitch and intensity that are imperceptible to the human ear. This data was then combined with basic health information, including age, gender, height, and weight of the study participants.

The researchers found that gender played a determinant role: the AI could diagnose the disease with an accuracy rate of 89% for women, slightly lower at 86% for men.

This AI model holds the promise of significantly reducing the cost of medical check-ups. The research team stated that the Klick Labs model would be more accurate when additional data such as age and body mass index (BMI) of the patients are incorporated.

Mr. Yan Fossat, Deputy Director of Klick Labs and the lead researcher of this model, is confident that their voice technology product has significant potential in identifying type 2 diabetes and other health conditions.

Professor Fossat also teaches at the Ontario Tech University, specializing in mathematical modeling and computational science for digital health.

He hopes that Klick’s non-invasive and accessible AI diagnostic method can create opportunities for disease diagnosis through a simple mobile application. This would help identify and support millions of individuals with undiagnosed type 2 diabetes who may not have access to screening clinics.

He also expressed his hope to expand this new research to other healthcare areas such as prediabetes, women’s health, and hypertension.

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